AGI Capital runs a fully autonomous momentum strategy on Polymarket's BTC 5-minute binary markets. Every trade is signed on-chain, every decision is logged, every dollar of P&L is verifiable.
The strategy exploits a structural latency between Binance spot and Chainlink's BTC oracle that settles Polymarket's binary markets — turning a 1–5 second information advantage into a probability edge in the final 30 seconds of every 5-minute window.
Live BTC tape from Binance + Polymarket order books. Decision engine evaluates every 5-minute window against a 5-factor confidence score.
Session loss cap, daily loss cap, consecutive-loss cooldowns, and dynamic price ceilings — the bot self-pauses before losing the desk.
Every entry, every settle, every redemption logged in JSON and verified on-chain. No black box. No retroactive edits.
Doesn't just hold to settlement — locks profit at 85¢ on the dollar, cuts losses at 20¢. Compounds smaller, more often.
Winning conditional tokens are redeemed back to USDC on the proxy wallet automatically — no human required to claim.
Self-healing WebSocket feeds with REST fallback. PM2 process supervisor. Auto-recovery from restarts and oracle outages.
Every 5 minutes, a new BTC up/down market opens on Polymarket. AGI Capital evaluates each one independently.
Lock in the Chainlink BTC oracle price at window open. Subscribe to the market's UP/DOWN token feeds.
Track BTC delta against the locked oracle price using Binance spot. Idle until the late window.
At T-30s to T-8s, if delta · trend · volume · price-edge clear the confidence threshold, post a limit buy that crosses the spread.
Lock profit early at TP, otherwise hold to oracle settlement at window close, then auto-redeem winning tokens to USDC.